We were certainly surprised last week at the silence of the Nixon campaign after the latest Rasmussen poll was released. The poll purportedly showed Nixon with a healthy lead over his Republican opponents. A post today on respected pollster Stuart Rothenberg’s blog may provide us an answer. Rothenberg critiqued the polling conducted by five organizations during the recent presidential sweepstakes. Rothenberg is particularly critical of Rasmussen’s polling. He ominously says this in his first paragraph:”Everyone seems to conduct polls these days, but not everyone conducts good ones.” According to his analysis, Rasmussen is right “a little under two-thirds of the time.”

“Rasmussen got 11 primaries right and six wrong (the Democratic races in New Hampshire, California, Missouri and Texas, and the GOP primaries in California and Alabama), a mediocre record at best. Even more disconcerting, in five of the primaries that Rasmussen got “right,” the firm was embarrassingly far off from the actual vote.”

Is this the reason for the deafening silence from Jay Nixon and his press release campaign? Maybe they have internal polls that say the race is a lot closer?

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